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Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

Current Odds▼ 0.4% 24h
2%YES
·
98%NO
Total Volume
$3.2M
24h Volume
$9k
Liquidity
$129k
7d Change
-0.8%
Market ends: January 1, 2027
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 2%. Total trading volume stands at $3.2M, backed by $129k in current liquidity. Whale activity is notable: 6 large trades recently, the biggest being $92k buying No. The market resolves on January 1, 2027.

Price History3% YES
0255075100Sep 22Oct 2Oct 12Oct 22
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 2% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.