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Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

Current Odds 0% 24h
11%YES
·
89%NO
Total Volume
$1.8M
24h Volume
$10k
Liquidity
$232k
7d Change
+0.0%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 11%. Total trading volume stands at $1.8M, backed by $232k in current liquidity. Recent whale activity includes a $58k trade — bought No. The market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History11% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

NeHNo
$58k5d ago

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1NeHNo
$105.3k117.7k sh
$85.0k94.9k sh
$79.6k88.9k sh
$73.5k82.1k sh
$62.0k590.6k sh
$45.5k50.8k sh
$31.8k35.5k sh
8aff3No
$27.1k30.3k sh
$27.0k30.2k sh
$26.0k29.1k sh
1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 11% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.