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Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Current Odds▲ 3% 24h
27%YES
·
73%NO
Total Volume
$178k
24h Volume
$2k
Liquidity
$42k
7d Change
-9.5%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

Traders are skeptical, pricing YES at just 27%, up 3.0% over the last 24 hours. This is a smaller market with $178k in total volume, backed by $42k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has fallen 9.5% and the market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History27% YES
0255075100Jul 9Jul 16Jul 23Jul 30
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1anoin123No
$13.3kto win $18.1k
2Hakei.No
$7.4kto win $10.0k
3HullNo
$5.3kto win $7.3k
4eightpenguinsNo
$4.1kto win $5.6k
5ELICHOUNo
$3.9kto win $5.3k
6novv25Yes
$3.0kto win $11.3k
7whigNo
$2.9kto win $4.0k
8RememberAmalekYes
$2.6kto win $9.9k
9Valen9No
$2.3kto win $3.1k
10Logan.Yes
$1.9kto win $7.3k
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 27% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.