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Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Current Odds▲ 0% 24h
17%YES
·
83%NO
Total Volume
$1.7M
24h Volume
$23k
Liquidity
$216k
7d Change
+1.0%
Market ends: January 1, 2027
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 17%. Total trading volume stands at $1.7M, backed by $216k in current liquidity. Recent whale activity includes a $35k trade — bought No. The market resolves on January 1, 2027.
Price History17% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→Top Holders largest positions on this market
1Votei14Voude22No
$85.5kto win $102.4k
265765757No
$68.9kto win $82.5k
3hymoluNo
$50.1kto win $60.0k
4anoin123No
$37.0kto win $44.3k
5mr.oziNo
$36.7kto win $44.0k
6RememberAmalekYes
$36.6kto win $221.9k
7KevindotoNo
$25.1kto win $30.0k
8Valen9No
$20.1kto win $24.1k
9TigerofthehoodNo
$17.4kto win $20.8k
10DiaMatNo
$15.9kto win $19.0k
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 17% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.