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Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Current Odds 1.1% 24h
6%YES
·
94%NO
Total Volume
$2.5M
24h Volume
$5k
Liquidity
$100k
7d Change
-2.5%
Market ends: October 1, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 6%, up 1.1% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $2.5M, backed by $100k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 1, 2026.

Price History6% YES
0255075100Aug 7Aug 18Aug 28Sep 7
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 6% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.