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Iran full airspace closure by August 15?

Iran full airspace closure by...?

Current Odds▲ 9% 24h
28%YES
·
72%NO
Total Volume
$182k
24h Volume
$28k
Liquidity
$8k
7d Change
-16.0%
Market ends: August 15, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders are skeptical, pricing YES at just 28%, a sharp jump of 9.0% in the last 24 hours. This is a smaller market with $182k in total volume, backed by $8k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has fallen 16.0% and the market resolves on August 15, 2026.

Price History28% YES
0255075100Jul 18Jul 22Jul 26Jul 30
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1020112No
$6.0kto win $8.4k
2Parz1vaINo
$3.9kto win $5.4k
3ChikaBoomPowYes
$3.6kto win $12.9k
4Valen9No
$3.6kto win $5.0k
5ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo
$3.2kto win $4.5k
6nellojelloNo
$2.5kto win $3.4k
7Required-SpitNo
$2.4kto win $3.4k
8MahnicNo
$2.4kto win $3.3k
9cambridgeisaacNo
$2.3kto win $3.3k
10LlamaLoco0000Yes
$2.1kto win $7.5k
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Iran full airspace closure by July 15?0%Iran full airspace closure by July 31?8%Iran full airspace closure by August 31?39%Iran full airspace closure by July 24?0%Iran full airspace closure by July 27?0%Iran full airspace closure by July 21?0%

Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 28% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.