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Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Iran full airspace closure by...?

Current Odds 8.9% 24h
3%YES
·
97%NO
Total Volume
$2.5M
24h Volume
$151k
Liquidity
$53k
7d Change
-2.3%
Market ends: July 15, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 3%, a sharp drop of 8.9% in the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $2.5M, backed by $53k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves in just 1 day on July 15, 2026.

Price History2% YES
0255075100Jun 25Jul 2Jul 8Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$72.5k75.0k sh
$34.1k35.3k sh
$27.3k28.3k sh
$22.5k23.3k sh
$22.3k23.0k sh
$21.5k22.3k sh
$16.9k17.5k sh
$14.9k15.4k sh
9jbrNo
$13.9k14.3k sh
$9.9k10.2k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 3% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.