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Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Iran full airspace closure by...?

Current Odds 1.5% 24h
41%YES
·
59%NO
Total Volume
$347k
24h Volume
$22k
Liquidity
$23k
7d Change
+23.5%
Market ends: August 31, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders are skeptical, pricing YES at just 41%, up 1.5% over the last 24 hours. This is a smaller market with $347k in total volume, backed by $23k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has climbed 23.5% and the market resolves on August 31, 2026.

Price History44% YES
0255075100Jun 25Jul 2Jul 8Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$11.1k18.7k sh
$11.0k18.6k sh
$5.3k9.0k sh
$4.7k8.0k sh
$4.2k10.3k sh
$2.9k7.1k sh
$2.7k4.6k sh
$2.6k6.3k sh
$2.3k4.0k sh
$2.0k5.0k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 41% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.