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Iran leadership change by December 31?

Iran leadership change by...?

Current Odds 0.5% 24h
21%YES
·
79%NO
Total Volume
$3.5M
24h Volume
$41k
Liquidity
$87k
7d Change
-5.0%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 21%. Total trading volume stands at $3.5M, backed by $87k in current liquidity. Recent whale activity includes a $55k trade — bought No. Over the past week the price has fallen 5.0% and the market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History21% YES
0255075100Jun 29Jul 9Jul 19Jul 29
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 21% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.