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Iran leadership change by July 31?

Iran leadership change by...?

Current Odds 0.1% 24h
4%YES
·
96%NO
Total Volume
$245k
24h Volume
$17k
Liquidity
$91k
7d Change
-0.4%
Market ends: July 31, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 4%. This is a smaller market with $245k in total volume, backed by $91k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on July 31, 2026.

Price History4% YES
0255075100Jun 29Jul 4Jul 10Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$34.5k36.0k sh
$22.2k23.1k sh
$12.8k13.4k sh
$9.8k10.3k sh
$5.5k5.8k sh
$5.2k5.5k sh
$5.2k5.4k sh
$5.1k5.3k sh
$4.8k5.0k sh
$4.8k5.0k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 4% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.