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Iran leadership change by December 31?

Iran leadership change by...?

Current Odds 1% 24h
14%YES
·
86%NO
Total Volume
$4.4M
24h Volume
$25k
Liquidity
$263k
7d Change
-3.0%
Market ends: January 1, 2027
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 14%, down 1.0% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $4.4M, backed by $263k in current liquidity. Recent whale activity includes a $55k trade — bought No. Over the past week the price has fallen 3.0% and the market resolves on January 1, 2027.

Price History14% YES
0255075100Aug 7Aug 18Aug 28Sep 7
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 14% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.