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Iran leadership change by September 30?
Iran leadership change by...?
Current Odds▼ 0.4% 24h
3%YES
·
97%NO
Total Volume
$1.0M
24h Volume
$2k
Liquidity
$151k
7d Change
-0.4%
Market ends: October 1, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 3%. Total trading volume stands at $1.0M, backed by $151k in current liquidity. Recent whale activity includes a $32k trade — bought No. The market resolves on October 1, 2026.
Price History3% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→Top Holders largest positions on this market
1thoodrNo
$31.3kto win $32.2k
2stupid22No
$25.8kto win $26.6k
3AlAhmedaNo
$16.8kto win $17.3k
4MEPPNo
$16.0kto win $16.4k
5nonkenny90No
$13.0kto win $13.4k
6skibabibaNo
$5.6kto win $5.8k
7nope3050No
$5.3kto win $5.5k
8MrNoItAllNo
$5.3kto win $5.4k
9MetaloidManiacNo
$5.1kto win $5.3k
10justme003No
$4.9kto win $5.0k
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 3% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.