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US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

Current Odds 0.3% 24h
5%YES
·
95%NO
Total Volume
$1.5M
24h Volume
$44k
Liquidity
$564k
7d Change
-7.8%
Market ends: August 18, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 5%. Total trading volume stands at $1.5M, backed by $564k in current liquidity. Whale activity is notable: 5 large trades recently, the biggest being $170k buying No. Over the past week the price has fallen 7.8% and the market resolves on August 18, 2026.

Price History5% YES
0255075100Jun 21Jun 29Jul 7Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo
$170k7d ago
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMANo
$75k6d ago
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMANo
$32k2d ago
Trump2028No
$32k2d ago
touristsNo
$31k7d ago

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$275.7k289.5k sh
$108.1k113.4k sh
$44.9k47.1k sh
$36.2k38.0k sh
$35.9k37.7k sh
$22.6k23.7k sh
8wan123Yes
$18.3k385.2k sh
$18.1k19.0k sh
$16.9k17.7k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 5% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.