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US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

Current Odds 2% 24h
13%YES
·
87%NO
Total Volume
$534k
24h Volume
$13k
Liquidity
$234k
7d Change
-8.0%
Market ends: September 30, 2026
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 13%, down 2.0% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $534k, backed by $234k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has fallen 8.0% and the market resolves on September 30, 2026.

Price History13% YES
0255075100Jun 26Jul 2Jul 9Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$25.0k28.6k sh
$20.5k23.4k sh
$6.3k7.2k sh
$4.9k5.6k sh
$3.6k4.2k sh
$3.1k3.5k sh
$3.0k3.5k sh
8apmtNo
$2.7k3.1k sh
$2.4k2.7k sh
$2.2k2.5k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 13% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.