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Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Current Odds 1% 24h
14%YES
·
86%NO
Total Volume
$2.1M
24h Volume
$29k
Liquidity
$102k
7d Change
-1.0%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 14%, up 1.0% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $2.1M, backed by $102k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History14% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$628.3k734.9k sh
$23.0k26.9k sh
$21.5k148.6k sh
$8.6k59.6k sh
$8.1k9.5k sh
$7.5k51.7k sh
$6.8k46.9k sh
$5.5k38.0k sh
$4.2k29.2k sh
10AlulubaYes
$4.1k28.6k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 14% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.