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Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Current Odds 0.5% 24h
45%YES
·
55%NO
Total Volume
$545k
24h Volume
$416
Liquidity
$11k
7d Change
+5.0%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

This market is essentially a toss-up, with YES trading at 45%. Total trading volume stands at $545k, backed by $11k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has climbed 5.0% and the market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History45% YES
0255075100Jun 29Jul 9Jul 19Jul 29
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 45% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.