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Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Current Odds▲ 0% 24h
33%YES
·
67%NO
Total Volume
$465k
24h Volume
$523
Liquidity
$9k
7d Change
-5.5%
Market ends: March 2, 2027
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Market Overview

Traders are skeptical, pricing YES at just 33%. This is a smaller market with $465k in total volume, backed by $9k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has fallen 5.5% and the market resolves on March 2, 2027.

Price History11% YES
0255075100Sep 28Oct 8Oct 18Oct 28
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 33% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.