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Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Current Odds 1% 24h
25%YES
·
75%NO
Total Volume
$409k
24h Volume
$446
Liquidity
$6k
7d Change
+2.5%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders are skeptical, pricing YES at just 25%, up 1.0% over the last 24 hours. This is a smaller market with $409k in total volume, backed by $6k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History24% YES
0255075100Aug 12Aug 22Sep 1Sep 12
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 25% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.