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Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Brazil Presidential Election

Current Odds 1.5% 24h
25%YES
·
75%NO
Total Volume
$7.4M
24h Volume
$34k
Liquidity
$247k
7d Change
+3.0%
Market ends: October 4, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders are skeptical, pricing YES at just 25%, up 1.5% over the last 24 hours. The market has attracted substantial interest with $7.4M in total volume, backed by $247k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has climbed 3.0% and the market resolves on October 4, 2026.

Price History24% YES
0255075100Jun 14Jun 24Jul 4Jul 14
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$1.5M2.0M sh
2RafifaYes
$50.8k201.3k sh
$30.7k41.0k sh
$20.4k80.8k sh
$17.8k70.4k sh
$17.5k69.5k sh
$17.4k69.1k sh
$16.0k63.2k sh
$14.4k56.9k sh
$13.3k52.7k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 25% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.