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Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Brazil Presidential Election

Current Odds 0.7% 24h
1%YES
·
99%NO
Total Volume
$9.0M
24h Volume
$46k
Liquidity
$208k
7d Change
-0.1%
Market ends: October 4, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 1%. The market has attracted substantial interest with $9.0M in total volume, backed by $208k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 4, 2026.

Price History1% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$2.0M2.0M sh
$3.3k232.9k sh
$2.2k156.4k sh
$2.0k2.1k sh
$1.8k1.9k sh
$1.5k105.3k sh
$1.4k97.7k sh
$1.4k97.6k sh
$1.3k1.3k sh
$1.3k89.6k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 1% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.