Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Brazil Presidential Election
Market Overview
The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 13%. The market has attracted substantial interest with $22.4M in total volume, backed by $1.5M in current liquidity. Whale activity is notable: 16 large trades recently, the biggest being $101k selling Yes. Over the past week the price has fallen 3.0% and the market resolves on October 5, 2026.
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
Top Holders largest positions on this market
Related Markets
Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 13% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.