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Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?

Russia nuclear test by...?

Current Odds 1.1% 24h
10%YES
·
90%NO
Total Volume
$25k
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$12k
7d Change
+1.6%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 10%, down 1.1% over the last 24 hours. This is a smaller market with $25k in total volume, backed by $12k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History10% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$2.0k2.2k sh
$1.6k1.8k sh
$279310 sh
$2512.5k sh
$180200 sh
$94105 sh
$44432 sh
9PPMTNo
$2730 sh
10mr.ucsNo
$2022 sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 10% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.