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Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
Russia nuclear test by...?
Current Odds▲ 0.5% 24h
6%YES
·
94%NO
Total Volume
$120k
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$11k
7d Change
-1.2%
Market ends: January 1, 2027
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 6%. This is a smaller market with $120k in total volume, backed by $11k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on January 1, 2027.
Price History6% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
no whale trades detected yet
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→Top Holders largest positions on this market
1ololololololololoNo
$2.3kto win $2.5k
2CP-directionalNo
$2.3kto win $2.5k
3Diligent-ScenarioNo
$2.2kto win $2.3k
4PorxNo
$2.1kto win $2.2k
53.dn9.govnaNo
$380to win $403
6TANGO853Yes
$295to win $5.0k
7Ready-ResourceNo
$253to win $269
8Flamboyant-WarmingNo
$221to win $235
9Zelenearn0No
$141to win $150
10toufik-la-moulaNo
$106to win $113
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 6% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.