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Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
Russia nuclear test by...?
Current Odds▲ 0.1% 24h
1%YES
·
99%NO
Total Volume
$159k
24h Volume
$217
Liquidity
$10k
7d Change
-1.7%
Market ends: October 1, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 1%. This is a smaller market with $159k in total volume, backed by $10k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 1, 2026.
Price History1% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
no whale trades detected yet
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→Top Holders largest positions on this market
1blindmaninanorgyNo
$3.7kto win $3.7k
2PorxNo
$1.6kto win $1.6k
3Diligent-ScenarioNo
$1.3kto win $1.3k
4MrNoItAllNo
$982to win $995
5CP-directionalNo
$815to win $826
6ScientiaRexNo
$543to win $551
7Dmitry2009No
$210to win $213
8toufik-la-moulaNo
$200to win $203
9WeJustBettinNo
$184to win $186
10Zelenearn0No
$178to win $180
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 1% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.