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Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

Current Odds 55.3% 24h
100%YES
·
0%NO
Total Volume
$283k
24h Volume
$136k
Liquidity
$125k
7d Change
+0.0%
Market ends: August 31, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders consider this outcome nearly certain, pricing YES at 100%, a sharp jump of 55.3% in the last 24 hours. This is a smaller market with $283k in total volume, backed by $125k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on August 31, 2026.

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$2914.5k sh
$2020 sh
$199.4k sh
$178.7k sh
$105.2k sh
$94.7k sh
$99 sh
$84.0k sh
$63.2k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 100% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.