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Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

Current Odds 40.9% 24h
100%YES
·
0%NO
Total Volume
$372k
24h Volume
$67k
Liquidity
$96k
7d Change
+71.4%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders consider this outcome nearly certain, pricing YES at 100%, a sharp jump of 40.9% in the last 24 hours. This is a smaller market with $372k in total volume, backed by $96k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has climbed 71.4% and the market resolves on December 31, 2026.

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$300300 sh
$240240 sh
3eppixxYes
$4545 sh
$3837.9k sh
$1010.0k sh
$109.8k sh
$1010 sh
$44.0k sh
$32.6k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 100% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.