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Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Current Odds▲ 0% 24h
73%YES
·
27%NO
Total Volume
$11k
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$679
7d Change
+10.5%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

The market heavily favors YES, currently priced at 73%. This is a smaller market with $11k in total volume, backed by $679 in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has climbed 10.5% and the market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History73% YES
0255075100Jun 30Jul 10Jul 20Jul 30
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1aenews2Yes
$795to win $1.1k
2troimNo
$275to win $1.0k
3AMAM13Yes
$273to win $376
4PLYBOTLIAMYes
$145to win $200
5fElonNo
$138to win $500
6SDODNDPDYes
$117to win $162
7Merry-EntryYes
$52to win $71
8yiyimingaNo
$51to win $185
9yaomingdseYes
$40to win $55
10LosingEverything12312312323123Yes
$40to win $55
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 73% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.