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Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Current Odds▼ 7% 24h
52%YES
·
48%NO
Total Volume
$389
24h Volume
$321
Liquidity
$304
7d Change
+6.5%
Market ends: January 1, 2027
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

This market is essentially a toss-up, with YES trading at 52%, a sharp drop of 7.0% in the last 24 hours. This is a smaller market with $389 in total volume, backed by $304 in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has climbed 6.5% and the market resolves on January 1, 2027.

Price History50% YES
0255075100Oct 5Oct 12Oct 20Oct 27
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1Y4n4polYes
$550to win $1.1k
2fElonNo
$377to win $785
3clazzy1No
$283to win $589
4LosingEverything12312312323123Yes
$250to win $481
5geowatchYes
$196to win $377
6Unlucky-Anywhere-DestructionYes
$52to win $100
7lucid-for15min-NEXUS-amused-flipperNo
$48to win $100
8St3fYes
$47to win $90
9pootytherewardfarmerNo
$42to win $87
10Prime-BrowsingNo
$28to win $58
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 52% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.