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Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Current Odds 0.5% 24h
15%YES
·
85%NO
Total Volume
$417k
24h Volume
$14
Liquidity
$3k
7d Change
+1.0%
Market ends: January 1, 2027
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 15%. This is a smaller market with $417k in total volume, backed by $3k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on January 1, 2027.

Price History15% YES
0255075100Aug 14Aug 25Sep 4Sep 14
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 15% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.