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Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Current Odds▼ 3% 24h
16%YES
·
84%NO
Total Volume
$421k
24h Volume
$36
Liquidity
$901
7d Change
-18.0%
Market ends: January 8, 2027
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 16%, down 3.0% over the last 24 hours. This is a smaller market with $421k in total volume, backed by $901 in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has fallen 18.0% and the market resolves on January 8, 2027.

Price History5% YES
0255075100Sep 30Oct 10Oct 20Oct 30
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1gopfan2Yes
$1.4kto win $8.5k
2Snow-WhiteYes
$796to win $5.0k
3Elias.ThornwellNo
$706to win $841
4Active-BroadYes
$452to win $2.8k
5fakefinnYes
$190to win $1.2k
6tttt123No
$168to win $200
7HechuanYes
$153to win $958
8CodyAnderson4920No
$118to win $141
9BornAgain26No
$118to win $140
10cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433Yes
$113to win $707
1 / 2

Related Markets

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 16% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.