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Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Current Odds▲ 6% 24h
56%YES
·
44%NO
Total Volume
$189k
24h Volume
$3
Liquidity
$539
7d Change
+7.5%
Market ends: January 8, 2027
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

Traders lean towards YES at 56%, a sharp jump of 6.0% in the last 24 hours. This is a smaller market with $189k in total volume, backed by $539 in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has climbed 7.5% and the market resolves on January 8, 2027.

Price History50% YES
0255075100Sep 30Oct 10Oct 20Oct 30
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1gopfan2Yes
$4.9kto win $8.7k
2DEGENKHANYes
$3.8kto win $6.7k
3Active-BroadYes
$565to win $1.0k
4babydogeboxNo
$406to win $933
5aouaouaouYes
$288to win $509
6GennedyYes
$248to win $439
7tigerzYes
$223to win $395
8treadmill4727Yes
$120to win $213
9hetaczYes
$113to win $200
10BTCGambler247Yes
$113to win $200
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Related Markets

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?16%Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?20%Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?0%Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?0%Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?0%Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?1%

Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 56% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.