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Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

California Governor Election Winner

Current Odds 0.2% 24h
94%YES
·
6%NO
Total Volume
$1.7M
24h Volume
$414
Liquidity
$118k
7d Change
-0.1%
Market ends: November 3, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders consider this outcome nearly certain, pricing YES at 94%. Total trading volume stands at $1.7M, backed by $118k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on November 3, 2026.

Price History94% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$35.3k37.7k sh
2snolsYes
$33.6k35.9k sh
3wan123Yes
$33.6k35.9k sh
$24.6k26.3k sh
$23.9k370.6k sh
$19.2k20.5k sh
$13.2k14.1k sh
$12.6k13.5k sh
$11.5k12.3k sh
10bosshogYes
$10.7k11.4k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 94% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.