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Iran leadership change by December 31?

Iran leadership change by...?

Current Odds 1.5% 24h
22%YES
·
78%NO
Total Volume
$3.3M
24h Volume
$11k
Liquidity
$89k
7d Change
+6.0%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 22%, down 1.5% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $3.3M, backed by $89k in current liquidity. Recent whale activity includes a $55k trade — bought No. Over the past week the price has climbed 6.0% and the market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History22% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

20YrsOfBoredomNo
$55k5d ago

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$62.8k80.0k sh
$54.0k68.8k sh
$37.6k47.9k sh
$29.3k136.1k sh
$23.2k29.5k sh
$21.9k27.9k sh
$17.9k22.8k sh
$13.6k63.5k sh
$12.9k16.4k sh
$10.4k13.3k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 22% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.