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Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

Iran leadership change by...?

Current Odds 1% 24h
31%YES
·
69%NO
Total Volume
$59k
24h Volume
$2k
Liquidity
$81k
7d Change
+5.5%
Market ends: June 30, 2027
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Market Overview

Traders are skeptical, pricing YES at just 31%, up 1.0% over the last 24 hours. This is a smaller market with $59k in total volume, backed by $81k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has climbed 5.5% and the market resolves on June 30, 2027.

Price History31% YES
0255075100Jun 30Jul 4Jul 9Jul 14
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$5.0k7.2k sh
$2.2k7.1k sh
$2.1k3.0k sh
$497720 sh
$483700 sh
$3581.2k sh
$276400 sh
9Dima79Yes
$254820 sh
10Rr55No
$207300 sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 31% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.