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Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Current Odds 0.3% 24h
2%YES
·
98%NO
Total Volume
$407k
24h Volume
$10k
Liquidity
$183k
7d Change
-0.7%
Market ends: August 31, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 2%. This is a smaller market with $407k in total volume, backed by $183k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on August 31, 2026.

Price History2% YES
0255075100Jun 22Jun 30Jul 7Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$9.4k9.6k sh
$9.1k9.3k sh
$8.3k8.5k sh
$7.1k7.3k sh
$7.1k7.3k sh
$6.6k6.7k sh
$5.6k5.8k sh
$5.4k5.5k sh
$4.2k4.3k sh
$2.4k2.5k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 2% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.