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Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Current Odds 0.5% 24h
12%YES
·
88%NO
Total Volume
$97k
24h Volume
$4k
Liquidity
$65k
7d Change
-0.5%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 12%. This is a smaller market with $97k in total volume, backed by $65k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History12% YES
0255075100Jun 22Jun 30Jul 7Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$9.4k10.7k sh
$4.4k5.0k sh
3MEPPNo
$4.1k4.7k sh
$3.4k3.9k sh
$2.9k3.3k sh
$2.5k2.8k sh
$2.1k2.4k sh
$1.5k1.7k sh
$1.2k10.0k sh
$9751.1k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 12% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.