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Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Current Odds 0% 24h
5%YES
·
95%NO
Total Volume
$94k
24h Volume
$4k
Liquidity
$68k
7d Change
+0.5%
Market ends: September 30, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 5%. This is a smaller market with $94k in total volume, backed by $68k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on September 30, 2026.

Price History5% YES
0255075100Jun 22Jun 30Jul 7Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$4.3k4.5k sh
$2.5k2.6k sh
3MEPPNo
$2.0k2.1k sh
$1.9k2.0k sh
$1.4k1.5k sh
$712749 sh
$475500 sh
$475500 sh
$428450 sh
$428450 sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 5% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.