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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Current Odds 0.5% 24h
10%YES
·
90%NO
Total Volume
$208k
24h Volume
$5k
Liquidity
$69k
7d Change
-2.0%
Market ends: August 31, 2026
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 10%. This is a smaller market with $208k in total volume, backed by $69k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on August 31, 2026.

Price History10% YES
0255075100Jun 19Jun 27Jul 6Jul 14
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$16.4k18.1k sh
$15.2k16.8k sh
$13.6k15.0k sh
$10.0k11.1k sh
$9.1k10.0k sh
6xouaNo
$9.1k10.0k sh
$6.3k7.0k sh
$5.9k62.5k sh
$4.1k4.5k sh
$3.9k4.3k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 10% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.