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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Current Odds 1% 24h
24%YES
·
76%NO
Total Volume
$699k
24h Volume
$5k
Liquidity
$76k
7d Change
-2.0%
Market ends: October 31, 2026
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Market Overview

The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 24%, down 1.0% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $699k, backed by $76k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 31, 2026.

Price History24% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$15.1k19.8k sh
$12.3k16.0k sh
$6.9k9.0k sh
$6.9k9.0k sh
$6.5k8.5k sh
$6.1k8.0k sh
$6.1k25.9k sh
$5.9k24.9k sh
$5.1k6.7k sh
$4.4k5.8k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 24% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.