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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Current Odds 2.5% 24h
39%YES
·
61%NO
Total Volume
$2.0M
24h Volume
$9k
Liquidity
$150k
7d Change
-1.0%
Market ends: December 31, 2026
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Market Overview

Traders are skeptical, pricing YES at just 39%, down 2.5% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $2.0M, backed by $150k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on December 31, 2026.

Price History41% YES
0255075100Jun 14Jun 24Jul 4Jul 14
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$13.1k21.3k sh
2GodNo
$12.8k20.8k sh
$9.8k15.9k sh
$8.1k13.2k sh
$7.5k19.6k sh
$6.6k10.7k sh
$5.0k13.1k sh
$4.9k8.0k sh
$4.2k11.0k sh
10mm4kerYes
$4.0k10.4k sh
1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 39% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.