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Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Brazil Presidential Election

Current Odds 0% 24h
0%YES
·
100%NO
Total Volume
$4.7M
24h Volume
$14k
Liquidity
$163k
7d Change
-0.1%
Market ends: October 4, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 0%. Total trading volume stands at $4.7M, backed by $163k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 4, 2026.

Price History0% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$2.0M2.0M sh
$585167.2k sh
3coresoYes
$464132.7k sh
$452129.3k sh
$370105.7k sh
$356101.7k sh
$353100.8k sh
$34899.3k sh
$34197.4k sh
$26876.5k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 0% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.