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Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Brazil Presidential Election
Current Odds▼ 0.1% 24h
1%YES
·
99%NO
Total Volume
$4.9M
24h Volume
$14k
Liquidity
$300k
7d Change
+0.4%
Market ends: October 4, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 1%. Total trading volume stands at $4.9M, backed by $300k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 4, 2026.
Price History1% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
no whale trades detected yet
Top Holders largest positions on this market
$2.0M2.0M sh
$2.8k207.6k sh
$1.9k139.2k sh
$1.7k129.3k sh
$1.7k128.5k sh
$1.5k107.4k sh
$1.0k1.0k sh
$99373.5k sh
$94570.0k sh
$94570.0k sh
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 1% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.