US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
Market Overview
Traders are skeptical, pricing YES at just 39%, a sharp drop of 15.5% in the last 24 hours. This is a smaller market with $347k in total volume, backed by $58k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has climbed 3.0% and the market resolves on August 14, 2026.
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
Top Holders largest positions on this market
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 39% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
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