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Resolved: No

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)

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This market has resolved — outcome: No
Trading has ended (July 24, 2026). The figures below reflect the final recorded state.
Current Odds 28.1% 24h
0%YES
·
100%NO
Total Volume
$3.7M
24h Volume
$1.2M
Liquidity
$118k
7d Change
-4.0%
Market ends: July 24, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 0%, a sharp drop of 28.1% in the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $3.7M, backed by $118k in current liquidity. Recent whale activity includes a $26k trade — bought No. Over the past week the price has fallen 4.0% and the market resolves on July 24, 2026.

Price History0% YES
0255075100Jul 15Jul 20Jul 25Jul 29
Yes No· final

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 0% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.