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Resolved: No
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
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This market has resolved — outcome: No
Trading has ended (July 18, 2026). The figures below reflect the final recorded state.
Current Odds▲ 0% 24h
0%YES
·
100%NO
Total Volume
$539k
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
7d Change
+0.0%
Market ends: July 18, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 0%. Total trading volume stands at $539k, backed by $0 in current liquidity. Recent whale activity includes a $37k trade — bought No. The market resolves on July 18, 2026.
Price History0% YES
no price history available
Yes No· final
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→Top Holders largest positions on this market
1dedadsdasdasdadNo
$66 sh
2kkbbnizaiNo
$55 sh
3uigyfyiNo
$55 sh
4tetroseYes
$071.9k sh
5yuhyuhyuhy352352Yes
$016.6k sh
6881112Yes
$010.6k sh
7BoniBoniYes
$02.2k sh
8PolyEGGYes
$01.2k sh
9news-traderYes
$0800 sh
10Round-MuscatelYes
$0660 sh
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 0% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.