US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
Market Overview
The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 19%, a sharp drop of 15.0% in the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $1.9M, backed by $69k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has climbed 3.0% and the market resolves in just 3 days on July 31, 2026.
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
Top Holders largest positions on this market
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 19% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
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