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Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Current Odds▼ 0.4% 24h
62%YES
·
38%NO
Total Volume
$4.1M
24h Volume
$14k
Liquidity
$193k
7d Change
-2.9%
Market ends: October 31, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
Traders lean towards YES at 62%. Total trading volume stands at $4.1M, backed by $193k in current liquidity. Whale activity is notable: 4 large trades recently, the biggest being $51k buying Yes. The market resolves on October 31, 2026.
Price History62% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
↑
owenliang666Yes
$51kto win $98k39d ago
↑
0xa694…ab37No
$49kto win $83k49d ago
↑
owenliang666Yes
$28kto win $45k25d ago
↑
RichiddYes
$27kto win $49k38d ago
Top Holders largest positions on this market
1owenliang666Yes
$186.3kto win $302.7k
2RichiddYes
$106.8kto win $173.4k
3surfandturfYes
$86.2kto win $140.0k
4Informal-Index-DiscoveryYes
$56.9kto win $92.5k
5Known-IcingYes
$42.2kto win $68.5k
6DLEKYes
$37.2kto win $60.4k
7Da3vilYes
$25.4kto win $41.3k
8cigarettesYes
$25.2kto win $41.0k
9IDontLikeRiskYes
$23.4kto win $38.1k
10cowcatYes
$21.1kto win $34.2k
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 62% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.