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Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Current Odds 0.7% 24h
47%YES
·
53%NO
Total Volume
$2.6M
24h Volume
$42k
Liquidity
$316k
7d Change
+5.7%
Market ends: October 31, 2026
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Market Overview

This market is essentially a toss-up, with YES trading at 47%. Total trading volume stands at $2.6M, backed by $316k in current liquidity. Recent whale activity includes a $49k trade — bought No. Over the past week the price has climbed 5.7% and the market resolves on October 31, 2026.

Price History47% YES
0255075100Jun 29Jul 9Jul 19Jul 29
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1 / 2

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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 47% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.