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Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Current Oddsâ–Č 2.1% 24h
31%YES
·
69%NO
Total Volume
$4.0M
24h Volume
$68k
Liquidity
$100k
7d Change
-16.0%
Market ends: January 1, 2027
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

Traders are skeptical, pricing YES at just 31%, up 2.1% over the last 24 hours. Total trading volume stands at $4.0M, backed by $100k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. Over the past week the price has fallen 16.0% and the market resolves on January 1, 2027.

Price History0% YES
0255075100Sep 28Oct 7Oct 17Oct 27
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

no whale trades detected yet
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1DonaldinhoTrumpitoYes
$61.5kto win $200.0k
2DOG-UndressedVersionYes
$53.8kto win $175.0k
3vit236Yes
$38.5kto win $125.1k
4ultimate101Yes
$31.9kto win $103.7k
5winayoussYes
$25.1kto win $81.7k
6Kimoo77Yes
$24.7kto win $80.3k
7peepeepooppoopYes
$21.7kto win $70.7k
8DickTurbinYes
$21.2kto win $69.0k
9BigMackyGYes
$21.2kto win $68.9k
10Exhausted-CredentialYes
$18.8kto win $61.1k
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 31% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.