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Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Current Odds▲ 0.9% 24h
11%YES
·
89%NO
Total Volume
$1.3M
24h Volume
$35k
Liquidity
$117k
7d Change
-0.9%
Market ends: October 31, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗Market Overview
The market sees this as unlikely — YES trades at only 11%. Total trading volume stands at $1.3M, backed by $117k in current liquidity. No large whale trades have been detected on this market recently. The market resolves on October 31, 2026.
Price History11% YES
Yes No
🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market
no whale trades detected yet
Top Holders largest positions on this market
1Parz1vaINo
$20.2kto win $22.7k
2TrashbagNo
$14.9kto win $16.7k
3de5nutsNo
$9.6kto win $10.7k
4Alarming-South-HumanNo
$7.9kto win $8.8k
5surfandturfYes
$6.0kto win $56.2k
6frankxyzNo
$5.4kto win $6.0k
7tsihkodiivesYes
$4.5kto win $42.4k
8fkcvffcjtNo
$4.0kto win $4.4k
9ebk.No
$3.9kto win $4.4k
10marcozhouNo
$3.7kto win $4.2k
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Understanding the odds
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 11% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.
Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.