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Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Current Oddsâ–Č 0.1% 24h
3%YES
·
97%NO
Total Volume
$4.6M
24h Volume
$82k
Liquidity
$228k
7d Change
+0.4%
Market ends: January 1, 2027
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 3%. Total trading volume stands at $4.6M, backed by $228k in current liquidity. Whale activity is notable: 3 large trades recently, the biggest being $42k buying No. The market resolves on January 1, 2027.

Price History0% YES
0255075100Sep 28Oct 7Oct 17Oct 27
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

↑
schizohedgehogNo
$42kto win $43k50d ago
↑
zhuoyueNo
$29kto win $30k97d ago
↑
bearbees2No
$27kto win $27k26d ago
Whale alerts on TelegramEvery Polymarket trade above $150,000, pushed as we see it.→

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1aimforthebushesYes
$8.3kto win $327.1k
2Known-IcingYes
$7.4kto win $288.8k
3borja13Yes
$6.9kto win $270.6k
4lll1lllYes
$5.4kto win $213.5k
5claudemooneyYes
$2.8kto win $109.6k
6GfrancogYes
$2.5kto win $96.3k
7followflowYes
$2.2kto win $86.9k
8TimeTravelerYes
$2.0kto win $77.6k
9SoniCYes
$1.6kto win $63.6k
10michocaYes
$1.6kto win $63.3k
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 3% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Market data from Polymarket’s public API, last synced . PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.