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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Fed Decision in July?

Current Odds 0% 24h
0%YES
·
100%NO
Total Volume
$9.6M
24h Volume
$1.3M
Liquidity
$1.1M
7d Change
-0.4%
Market ends: July 29, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 0%. The market has attracted substantial interest with $9.6M in total volume, backed by $1.1M in current liquidity. Whale activity is notable: 6 large trades recently, the biggest being $244k selling No. The market resolves on July 29, 2026.

Price History0% YES
0255075100Jun 14Jun 24Jul 4Jul 14
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

pakoNo
$244k19h ago
foodenjoyerNo
$204k1d ago
gokolNo
$90k18h ago
Serene-DecisionNo
$68k2h ago
Serene-DecisionNo
$50k1d ago
ranger44No
$25k8d ago

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$3.7M3.7M sh
$424.9k426.8k sh
$325.4k326.8k sh
4pakoNo
$244.2k245.3k sh
$199.1k200.0k sh
$149.3k150.0k sh
$89.7k90.1k sh
$56.5k56.7k sh
$50.7k51.0k sh
$45.5k45.7k sh
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Related Markets

Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 0% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.