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Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Fed Decision in July?

Current Odds 28% 24h
93%YES
·
7%NO
Total Volume
$17.9M
24h Volume
$3.0M
Liquidity
$689k
7d Change
+14.0%
Market ends: July 29, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

Traders consider this outcome nearly certain, pricing YES at 93%, a sharp jump of 28.0% in the last 24 hours. The market has attracted substantial interest with $17.9M in total volume, backed by $689k in current liquidity. Whale activity is notable: 30 large trades recently, the biggest being $230k selling Yes. Over the past week the price has climbed 14.0% and the market resolves on July 29, 2026.

Price History93% YES
0255075100Jun 14Jun 24Jul 4Jul 14
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

wkmfa518Yes
$230k7d ago
QtyuYes
$115k7d ago
MiuMiuYanYes
$112k7d ago
pakoYes
$111k18h ago
wokerjoesleeperYes
$105k5d ago
pakoYes
$95k19h ago
robauYes
$88k7d ago
schizohedgehogYes
$88k19h ago
Kickstand7Yes
$88k19h ago
foodenjoyerYes
$84k19h ago
1 / 3

Top Holders largest positions on this market

1b2d0Yes
$442.5k478.4k sh
2HH168Yes
$305.3k330.0k sh
$285.8k3.8M sh
$271.6k293.6k sh
$221.9k239.9k sh
$211.4k228.6k sh
$198.6k214.7k sh
8pakoYes
$187.3k202.5k sh
$186.2k201.3k sh
$165.5k179.0k sh
1 / 2

Related Markets

Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 93% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.