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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Fed Decision in July?

Current Odds 0.2% 24h
0%YES
·
100%NO
Total Volume
$10.9M
24h Volume
$1.7M
Liquidity
$930k
7d Change
+0.1%
Market ends: July 29, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Market Overview

Traders treat this as a longshot, with YES priced at 0%. The market has attracted substantial interest with $10.9M in total volume, backed by $930k in current liquidity. Recent whale activity includes a $99k trade — bought No. The market resolves on July 29, 2026.

Price History0% YES
0255075100Jun 15Jun 25Jul 5Jul 15
Yes No

🐳 Whale Activity large moves on this market

JAHODANo
$99k19h ago

Top Holders largest positions on this market

$4.1M4.1M sh
$298.6k300.0k sh
$39.8k40.0k sh
$24.0k24.1k sh
$16.2k16.3k sh
$10.0k10.0k sh
7anykeyYes
$8.1k1.8M sh
$5.0k5.0k sh
9padaYes
$2.3k500.0k sh
10TBill1Yes
$1.8k390.4k sh
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Understanding the odds

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s estimated probability of an outcome. A YES price of 0% means traders collectively assign roughly that chance to the event happening. Whale alerts flag unusually large volume moves — a signal worth investigating, not a guarantee of insider knowledge.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.