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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Whale flow · 24h
$40k
100% of it on Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · across 1 large trades
Total Volume
$23.6M
24h Volume
$299k
Liquidity
$13.0M
Outcomes
31 / 89
Event ends: October 31, 2026
Trade on Polymarket ↗

Event Overview

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 spans 89 possible outcomes with $23.6M in combined trading volume, 31 of them still trading. The current favourite is “Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” at 47%. Whale traders moved $40k through this event in the last 24 hours. Prices update every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API.

Outcomes sorted by chance

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?47%Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?24%Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?11%Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?9%Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?5%Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?1%Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?1%Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?1%Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?1%Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BW] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BN] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AQ] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AH] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AM] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BV] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AU] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AW] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will Gavi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BR] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AB] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BF] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BM] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AG] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder Y] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AK] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BC] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AL] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AO] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BS] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder X] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BB] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BY] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BD] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AA] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BA] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BX] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AN] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder Z] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AZ] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BT] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AX] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BL] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BU] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AC] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BG] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AV] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AY] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AD] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AI] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AE] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AF] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BH] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BO] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BE] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BZ] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AP] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder W] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BP] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AJ] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BQ] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BK] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AS] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will someone else win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BJ] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AR] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder AT] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%Will [Placeholder BI] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0%

🐳 Whale Activity largest trades across all outcomes

How to read a multi-outcome event

Each outcome above is its own market with its own YES price, and each price is the crowd’s estimated probability of that outcome. Because only one can happen, the percentages across all 89 outcomes add up to roughly 100%. Volume is the sum across every outcome, so it can exceed the money actually at risk — buying NO on one outcome is economically close to buying YES across the others.

Data refreshes every 30 minutes from Polymarket’s public API. PolyPeek is an independent analytics project, not affiliated with Polymarket. Nothing on this page is financial advice.